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نتائج دراسة إحصائية عملتها بين تأثير سعر الزيت الخام برنت وسعر الذهب على تاسي

27 أبريل 2017

Fr3onNeT

الصفحة الرئيسية الاسهم السعودية هوامير البورصة السعودية - منتدى الأسهم السعودية

السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته

قبل أيام نزلت موضوع بهذا المنتدى وعنوان الموضوع

" خذوني قد عقلي وعلموني أيش علاقة سعر النفط مع السوق "

http://j.mp/2qkzUcK

ردود الكثير من الإخوان كانت على النحو التالي :

يوجد علاقة وثيقة وقوية بين سعر النفط وسوقنا

-----------
وكان رأي الخاص أنه لايوجد علاقة بين سعر النفط وسوقنا : حيث أن سوقنا يعتمد اعتماد كبير على أمزجة صناع السوق وكبار المستثمرين فيه .

ولهذا السبب حبيت أتأكد بنفسي عن علاقة السوق مع سعر النفط عن طريق عمل دراسة إحصائية بين مؤشر السوق السعودي و سعر النفط وسعر الذهب .

عينات الدراسة : بيانات المؤشر وبيانات زيت النفط برنت وبيانات الذهب لمدة 10 سنوات

_____

نتائج الدراسة

- ارتباط بين مؤشر تاسي وسعر الزيت برنت خام ( إرتباط طردي متوسط )
إذا زاد سعر النفط تزيد نقاط المؤشر وليست زيادة قوية بل زيادة متوسطة

- ارتباط بين مؤشر تاي وسعر الذهب ( إرتباط عكسي ضعيف )
إذا زاد سعر الذهب تقل نقاط المؤشر بصفة ضعيفة

انتهى

from هوامير البورصة السعودية - منتدى الأسهم السعودية http://j.mp/2pEANRb
via الاسهم السعوديه

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